this just a bear market rally? Or did we start a new bull market? Image: Getty

Is the stock market in a bear market rally? Or did we start a new bull market in late December? This seems to be one of the biggest questions on investors’ minds right now. To help answer this question, I posted a Twitter poll to get a pulse on the retail investor. Nearly 2,000 people voted, and 61% believe we are in a bear market rally. I still think it’s too early to tell, but we should get a clearer picture at the end of this week with many big names reporting earnings and a Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. Let’s look at the positives 

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Bitcoin is long dead and all businesses based on BTC

Bitcoin fell to six-week lows near $3,350 earlier today, confirming a downside break of the descending triangle charted over the last three weeks. 

That range breakdown is preceded by bull failure over the weekend. Prices had jumped to $3,658 on Saturday, confirming a triangle breakout. The bullish move, however, petered out, with prices falling back to $3,500 yesterday. Put simply, bull breakout failed, which is widely considered a strong bearish signal. 

As a result, December lows near $3,100 could soon come into play, possibly after a minor bounce as the RSI on the hourly and 4-hour chart is reporting oversold conditions. 

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